A recent article by Dr AK Chaurasia raises the debate over whether democratic electoral cycles undermine long-term development planning. The article, pointing out Navroop Singh’s analysis of the huge trade surplus and expanding manufacturing sector in China, states that five-year political mandates tend to derail or paralyze transformative infrastructure and industrial projects. Projects that take ten to twenty years to implement consistently will not work if the government is not consistent in its direction at every election.
Chaurasia opposes this to the industrialist approach of several decades in China. Beijing does not make plans based on elections, meaning it can build capacity in manufacturing, technology and exports well ahead of global demand. This long-term discipline provides structural benefits to China that are difficult to track in democracies experiencing complex political cycles.
Chinese trade surplus
According to Navroop Singh’s analysis, China has not stopped in the face of flooding world markets with its subsidized exports in unprecedented quantities that any rival can match. The impact of continued policy by China can be seen in the toys, steel, machinery and electronics sectors. Decades of capacity have allowed Chinese companies to compete in markets where domestic industries have unreliable political environments. Most democracies are trying to have long-term planning using multi-year systems, but the changing nature of elections tends to derail politicians’ plans, budgets or political agendas. Democracies may have to reconsider the way they formulate development programs if they want to compete with China’s decades-long industrial horizon.
A detailed feature
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