The Strait of Hormuz is back under Iran’s control, while Trump threatens to destroy Iran’s power grid, but Bitcoin is still holding on at a time when altcoins are bleeding profusely. It seems that something in the structure of this market has changed, but Bitcoin price predictions are still trending upward.
In the last 48 hours:
1. Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz
2. The United States said peace talks would resume tomorrow with Iran.
3. Iran withdrew from peace talks with the United States
4. Iran accused the United States of preparing a “surprise attack”
5. The United States struck and seized a…– Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 19, 2026
The recent weekend escalation hit traditional assets hard; Brent crude jumped to $88, European natural gas contracts rose 11% and S&P 500 futures fell 0.6% after a record close Friday. In comparison, Bitcoin’s 0.5% decline seemed very calm.
Futures are down sharply after this weekend’s developments in Iran.
Dow futures are down 500 points. pic.twitter.com/ZNDPeEb2Wv– Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) April 19, 2026
This is the fourth Iran-related escalation since the conflict began on February 28, and the pattern is clearly repeating itself; Each subsequent wave of selling in the crypto market will be less severe than the last. Although Sarah Breeden, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, warned on April 18 that the war “increases the risk of common market stress,” BTC maintained its level above $70,000 throughout.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: $80,000 Target Still Holds
Bitcoin hit a February 2026 low of $63,000 before rebounding to $78,000 based on last week’s ceasefire talks, triggering the liquidation of shorts worth $200 million. The current price stands at $74,000, which represents the middle of a well-defined five-week range between $73,000 and $78,000.
The relative strength index (RSI) showed a rebound after reaching a slight oversold zone following the April 1 move, and data from Chaikin Money Flow indicates active buying on the dip despite high volatility. This pattern resembles the consolidation phase following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, with the 100- and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA) about to form a golden cross.
The main support now lies at a higher level after last week’s jump, specifically at $73,000, while resistance is concentrated between $76,000 and $78,000. Polymarket currently expects a greater than 80% probability of reaching an agreement by the end of June, which paints a positive scenario; If the ceasefire is confirmed and the strait is reopened, BTC could cross the $78,000 mark, aiming for the $80,000-$94,000 range within a few weeks.
Bernstein maintains a $150,000 price target for the end of 2026, a forecast supported in part by MicroStrategy’s purchase of 4,871 BTC ($329.9 million) between April 1 and 5, amid the worst weeks of the conflict.
Long-term investors buy in times of fear, which does not guarantee an imminent breakout, but it establishes a reliable demand floor for the price.
Strong Bullish Momentum as Bitcoin Overcomes War Risks
Bitcoin remaining above $74,000 looks positive until you start analyzing resistance levels; The $76,000 level represents a cap that has already been rejected twice. Reaching Bernstein’s $150,000 target requires months of sustained stimulus measures, such as ceasefires, ETF flows and overall monetary easing, all of which must occur sequentially.
Many factors need to be met, so those looking for exceptional growth opportunities without waiting for BTC to break through four layers of resistance are increasingly looking to the infrastructure layer that is built on top of Bitcoin itself.
Enjoy the room Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Strategically located in this context; It is designed as the first layer 2 of Bitcoin with full integration of the Solana Virtualization Engine (SVM), enabling split-second smart contract execution within the Bitcoin system without compromising base layer security.
The immediate idea here is this: address Bitcoin’s intrinsic limitations such as slow transactions, high fees, and lack of programmability, while maintaining the trust that makes BTC worth building on. The presale has already been collected $32 million At the current price of $0.0136with possibility of storage (staking) with an annual yield of up to 36%.
Hyper presents a real investment opportunity in its early stages, and the scale of the amounts raised indicates that this project is receiving wide attention and is not going unnoticed in the market.
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