Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) updated 64.98% during the first week of May, marking a new summit for 2025 and the high level of HESS since 2021. Bitcoin Dominance puts BTC market capitalization as a percentage of the total market capitalization of cryptography.
Some analysts have experienced that it triggers recovery in Altcoins, but others remain skeptical.
Analysts divided such as the domination of bitcoin reached almost 65%
Analysts have long monitored BTC.D as a key indicator to predict the Altcoin season. The level of 65% also represents a significant historical resolution, a number of many analysts have closely monitored.
Analyst Darky estimates that 65% the blow is the summit of BTC.D and expects a clear drop from this point. If this has followed, it would see that altcoins are about to stream me. An Altcoin season generally begins when Caphates de Bitcoin in Altcoins, finally leading BTC.D Download in the support area at around 39%.
Bitcoin Dominance Resistance and important support. Source: Dark
“The domination of the BTC is about to fall so hard.
Beyond the technical signal that 65% is a strong resolution, this classic graphic model generally signals a downward reversal, supporting the scenario of a strong withdrawal of Bitcoin dominance.
Other analysts also support the idea of the next Altcoin season to come, but adopt a more cautious position. Milk Road, for example, argues that altcoins are always underperforming and suggests that BTC.D may need to exceed 70% before the start of active rotation in altcoins.
Altcoin speculation index. Source: Milk Road
“Only 17% of Altcoins have exceeded the BTC in the last 90 days. It is not a rotation. It is the BTC dominance holding the wheel. Painting.
BTC.D increased from 64.4% to 65% in the first week of May, while total market capitalization increased from $ 3 billion to $ 2.87 billion. This suggests that Capital leaves the market of a few Bitcoin, which does not yet support a real Altcoin season.
Predding the Altcoin season requires more than looking at the domination of Bitcoin
Over the past three years, BTC.D has increased from 39% to 65%. Meanwhile, most of the Altcoin season predisits have proven to be inaccurate and disappointing. As a result, many investors have permeated deeper losses in their Altcoin portfolios.
This is the rise of BTC.D has triggered an increasing disease. And some of these doubts call with valid arguments. Thomas Fahr, co-founder of Apollo, believes that insume investors have fundamentally changed the cycle.
“The domination of the BTC has just made a new ATH cycle. That’s another. Said.
Nic, co-founder of Coinbase, offers information. He argued that the prediction of the Altcoin season implies more than the simple follow -up of BTC.D. Other macro factors and on the flare must line up.
He pointed out that history, Altcoin Seasons tends to start around 320 days after a Bitcoin background, which would play them now (May 2025). How, the conditions, quantitative relaxation, the interest of retail investors for altcoins and the activity of blockchain developers have not yet been respected.
“Which must be happy before the start of the real season in Alts-Season: BTC Dominance falls 54%. The Fed officially ends QT and signals the rate cuts. Alts circuits – not far from them.
At the time of writing the time of writing, the total market capitalization of altcoins to the exclusion of stablescoins (Total3) is 807 billion dollars, download of 28% from the start of the year.