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Hal Finney predicts the future of Bitcoin Banking: Has your prediction come true?

Bitcoin Banks’s Hal Finney vision: a look at the future that has not yet arrived

In the first days of Bitcoin, before the world had completely captured the revolutionary nature of decentralized finances, a man stood out among the first believers: Hal Finney. Finney, an experienced innovative Cypherpunk and cryptographic, not only received the first Bitcoin transaction of Satoshi Nakamoto himself, but also a thought leader who foresaw in what Bitcoin could become. In a 2010 publication now famous in the Bitcointalk forum, Finney described his vision of “Bitcoin Banks”, institutions that would emit digital exchangeable digital for Bitcoin and serve as a practical solution to climb the use of digital currency in daily transactions.

More than a decade later, Finney’s predictions continue to be referenced in discussions about the future of financial infrastructure. But has your vision materialized?

Hal Finney: A legacy that still shapes Bitcoin’s ideology

Hal Finney was a pioneer in the movement of cryptography and digital privacy. After having worked at PGP Corporation in safe and developed communication tools, one of the first reusable work proof systems, Finney was already a prominent figure in the Cypherpunk community when Bitcoin emerged. He died in 2014 due to ALS, but not before contributing deeply to the spirit and architecture of the cryptographic world.

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In December 2010, during a thread of the Bitcointalk forum that discussed how banks could work in a Bitcoin world, Finney presented a vision that would become a fundamental concept for many in the encryption space. At that time, the very idea of ​​Bitcoin -based financial institutions found mixed reactions, from enthusiasm to absolute skepticism.

The birth of the Bitcoin Bank concept

The conversation began with a user called “Wobber” asking a question about how Bitcoin Banks could operate. Some participants suggested that these banks could work similarly to traditional banks: having customer bitcoins, offering interest or issuing loans. Others ruled out the idea, citing Bitcoin’s decentralized nature as incompatible with centralized financial institutions.

Hal Finney intervened with a more nuanced perspective. He proposed that Bitcoin backed banks would not only store the cryptocurrency, but would broadcast reducible Bitcoin digital currencies, which function as a second layer on the bitcoin protocol. This digital cash, he argued, would offer faster and more efficient transactions that Bitcoin’s native block chain could provide, especially for daily use.

“Bitcoin itself cannot climb so that all financial transactions in the world are transmitted to all and included in the block chain,” Finney wrote. “There must be a secondary level of payment systems that is lighter and more efficient.”

In his opinion, Bitcoin’s inefficiencies as a means of exchange, particularly the confirmation process that requires a lot of time, would push users to digital currencies issued by banks and backed by Bitcoin Reserves. Large transactions or settlements between banks could still use the Bitcoin base layer, but everyday trade would be handled through these instruments of the second layer.

Interpretation and clarification: Bitcoin Banks versus Treasury Bonds

Fast advance until June 2025, when Joe Burnett, a CEO of Bitcoin’s strategy in Semler, shared a screenshot of the Finney forum post, declaring as evidence that Finney had predicted the increase in “Bitcoin Treasury companies.” However, George Selgin, a renowned economist and free banking expert, quickly rejected that interpretation.

“Mr. Burnett does not seem to know the difference between a bank and a treasure company, two completely different things,” said Selgin. “What Finney imagined was a competitive Banks system with headquarters in Bitcoin, whose Ious would serve as means of payment of the second layer.”

In other words, Finney did not describe the modern Bitcoin Treasury strategy, where companies accumulate Bitcoin as a coverage against inflation or to increase the value of shareholders. Instead, I was talking about a functional banking system, possibly similar to free banking models of the nineteenth century, where institutions issue private currencies backed by reserves, in this case, Bitcoin.

The free banking model and Bitcoin

Free banking, a concept that deeply influenced Finney, refers to a historical period, mainly in Scotland and parts of the United States, when banks issued their own currency without central supervision. These banks competed freely and market forces determined the success and reliability of their notes. Finney believed that a similar model could evolve around Bitcoin, where several Bitcoin banks would operate with different policies, interest rates and service offers, but remain stable and resistant to inflation due to the Bitcoin standard.

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So, are Bitcoin banks today?

Despite the maturity of the cryptographic industry, the exact vision of Hal Finney by Bitcoin Banks has not yet become reality. There are no generalized banking institutions today, digital currencies were directly redeemed for Bitcoin in the way Finney imagined. However, the elements of your vision can be seen in today’s landscape:

  • Stablecoins Like the USDC and the USDT, they function as efficient digital payment systems, although they are generally fixed in fiduciary currencies instead of Bitcoin.

  • Decentralized Finance (Defi) The platforms offer some services similar to banking (prosperos, interest accounts and exchanges), but without issuing digital exchangeable.

  • Neobanks And friendly financial applications with cryptocurrencies such as Revolution and Cash Apply allow cryptographic transactions and storage, but they are not banks backed by Bitcoin.

  • Bitcoin treasuresAs referenced to Burnett, they are companies that have Bitcoin as an asset, such as Microstrategy, not as a means of payment issuance.

Some banks have begun to accumulate Bitcoin as part of their treasure strategy. For example, Solar Bank recently began to maintain Bitcoin as coverage against the devaluation of the fiduciary currency. Even so, these movements are strategic financial hedges, not bases to emit a digital currency in Bitcoins.

Even central banks are experiencing with Central Bank Digital Coins (CBDCS)But these are supported by the Government and not related to the decentralized structure of Bitcoin.

The future: Could Finney’s vision still become a reality?

While George Selgin remains skeptical that Bitcoin banks arose soon, citing a lack of earnings incentives in the issuance of substitutes supported by Bitcoin for what he calls a “means of relatively unpopular exchange”, does not rule out the possibility completely. If Bitcoin obtains greater acceptance and regulatory clarity, and if the efficient scale solutions of the second layer evolve even more, a system that resembles Finney’s vision could materialize.

Technologies like him Ray Network They are already trying to provide rapid and low -cost bitcoin transactions, offering an idea of ​​how a second layer could be. However, even these are far from the competitive panorama of Bitcoin’s private banks imagined by Finney.

Conclusion

Hal Finney’s forecast was amazing. Although Bitcoin Banks, as described, have not emerged in their entirety, the trajectory of the world of digital finances suggests that he advanced to his time to understand the need for scalable, safe and efficient financial systems built on Bitcoin. His writings are still a guide light for developers, economists and cryptographic enthusiasts who imagine what the future of finance could be.

In the coming years, as digital currencies continue to evolve, it is worth asking: will we live in a world where Bitcoin banks are as common as Fiats banks today? If so, it will be a testimony of Hal Finney’s remarkable legacy.

Writer

@Ellena

Ellena is an experienced cryptographic writer who loves to explore the intersection of blockchain technology and financial markets. She regularly provides information about the latest trends and innovations in the currency space.

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