HyperLiquid is laying the groundwork for entering prediction markets, introducing a new product called Outcome Trading, which it says could open the door to event-based contracts without relying on the leverage and liquidation mechanisms that dominate crypto derivatives.
In a blog post on
Hyperliquid Results Explained The contracts aim to add non-linearity and the contracts are dated while providing a form of derivatives trading without the use of leverage or liquidations.
Network pilot phase paves way for wider deployment
The feature was also seen as a building block that could work alongside Wallet Margin and HyperEVM, signaling a desire to expand what developers can build on top of its architecture.
HyperCore will support Outcome Trading (HIP-4). The results are fully guaranteed contracts that settle within a fixed range. This is a general-purpose primitive useful for applications such as market forecasting and limited options instruments. There was…
– Hyperliquid (@HyperliquidX) February 2, 2026
For now, the company said the feature is still in the beta network phase, with plans to create reference marketplaces once the technical work is complete.
Hyperliquid added that these initial markets will rely on objective settlement sources, be denominated in USDH, and may later expand to permissionless publishing based on user feedback.
CFTC Signals New Framework for Prediction Markets
The moment comes at a time when prediction markets are moving from the margins to the regulatory agenda. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said last week that the agency was preparing to create a new set of rules for prediction markets, where platforms like BulliMarket and Calendar attract billions of dollars of activity by allowing users to trade on yes or no outcomes in politics, popular culture and more.
This regulatory change is already reshaping the competitive landscape. Polymarket has returned to the US cryptocurrency market after winning approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission through a nomenclature change order, a move that could make event-driven contracts a new tool to attract users to major digital platforms like Coinbase, according to a ClearStreet report by analyst Owen Lau.
PoleMarket, which has been barred from offering its services to US customers since 2022, has launched a US app that will debut with a limited set of sports-related event contracts, with categories such as politics and crypto expected to be added over time.
Hyperliquid’s proposal appears to be an attempt to capitalize on this infrastructure-driven moment, aiming to offer traders and developers a simpler and completely foolproof way to express their opinions on outcomes while regulators and platforms compete for the place of prediction markets within existing rules.
If HIP-4 moves from pilot network to production, it will place Hyperliquid squarely in the growing race to deliver prediction markets as a consumer digital product, just as regulatory scrutiny and consumer demand begin to push the field in the same direction.
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