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Polymarket FIFA World Cup betting data reveals that almost two-thirds of traders lost money during the 2026 FIFA World Cup market, while one trader reported
Barland
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Most Polymarket World Cup Traders Ended in the Red
The analysis shows that approximately 130,000 wallet addressesrepresenting almost 66.7% of all participants, recorded net losses once the tournament ended.
Large losses were concentrated among large traders
Profits were even more concentrated
The trader behind a $7.4 million profit
That single position eventually generated an estimate 3.5 million dollars with benefits after Spain lifted the trophy.
Why multiple wallets are important
Why did so many merchants lose?
Blockchain transparency changes everything
What this means for prediction markets
Looking to the future
Conclusion
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